Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on offensive-zone draws (74% H2H, 19 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 47.8% vs Duchene 54.1% (-6.4%)
H2H factor
Duchene leads 27-19 in 46 meetings
Offensive zone
Compher 71.2%
Defensive zone
Compher 84.5%
Neutral zone
Compher 77.7%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 77.2%
77.2%
22.8%
Compher
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
27
(46 meetings)
19
27
Compher
Duchene
Last 10: Compher 5-5 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
5
14
Compher
Duchene
19 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
7
8
Compher
Duchene
15 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Compher
7
5
Compher
Duchene
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (5,716)
53.9% (10,396)
-5.2%
Power Play
52.6% (682)
56.9% (1,665)
-4.3%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (1,421)
49.1% (468)
-7.2%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Compher is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (5,626).
Compher shoots right. Duchene is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (4,494).
Home / Away
Compher
Duchene
Home
49.1% (3,894)
55.6% (6,411)
Away
46.6% (3,925)
52.7% (6,142)
By Period
Compher
Duchene
P1
49.1%
54.5%
P2
47.3%
54.5%
P3
47.4%
53.4%
OT
40.2%
56.3%
Final 5 min
46.2%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
47.8%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 11:07 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 03:35 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 00:25 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 10:33 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 01:37 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 07:57 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 07:43 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 11:56 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 11:50 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 01:38 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Jan 19, 2025 | 3 | 09:28 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Jan 19, 2025 | 3 | 09:25 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Jan 19, 2025 | 3 | 00:32 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 19, 2025 | 2 | 13:12 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 19, 2025 | 2 | 10:11 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 19, 2025 | 2 | 00:44 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 3 | 14:17 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 2 | 02:22 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 1 | 03:28 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |