Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 48.9% vs Duchene 52.1% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 68.5%
Defensive zone
Compher 86.9%
Neutral zone
Compher 58.6%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Compher
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Compher
Duchene
Last 7: Compher 2-5 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
4
Compher
Duchene
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Compher
2
0
Compher
Duchene
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
1
Compher
Duchene
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (1,149)
53.9% (193)
-4.6%
Power Play
53.9% (204)
49.2% (65)
+4.7%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (312)
100.0% (1)
-56.4%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +56.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Compher is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,162).
Compher shoots right. Duchene is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (105).
Home / Away
Compher
Duchene
Home
50.7% (872)
54.9% (113)
Away
46.8% (793)
51.4% (146)
By Period
Compher
Duchene
P1
49.9%
54.9%
P2
47.9%
52.7%
P3
49.0%
51.9%
OT
46.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.0%
60.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
48.8%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2022 | 3 | 16:55 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 1 | 19:40 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 1 | 17:34 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 3 | 19:22 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 3 | 14:45 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 2 | 07:48 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 2 | 07:30 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |