Scouting Report
J.T. Compher holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 51.3% vs MacKinnon 45.9% (+6.0%)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 63.2%
Defensive zone
Compher 62.5%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 53.0%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Compher
MacKinnon
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (471)
45.8% (755)
+6.4%
Power Play
65.6% (61)
48.3% (60)
+17.3%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (125)
27.6% (29)
+14.0%
On power play, Compher has a +17.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Compher is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (175).
Compher shoots right. MacKinnon is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (208).
Home / Away
Compher
MacKinnon
Home
54.4% (362)
49.5% (396)
Away
47.8% (295)
41.7% (448)
By Period
Compher
MacKinnon
P1
49.6%
50.2%
P2
53.6%
43.8%
P3
51.4%
41.4%
OT
57.1%
66.7%
Final 5 min
46.8%
41.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
51.4%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
45.4%