Scouting Report
J.T. Compher holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 48.9% vs MacKinnon 44.9% (+4.4%)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 58.6%
Defensive zone
Compher 54.4%
Neutral zone
Compher 51.1%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 51.0%
49.0%
51.0%
Compher
MacKinnon
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (1,149)
44.7% (1,053)
+4.6%
Power Play
53.9% (204)
36.8% (95)
+17.1%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (312)
65.0% (20)
-21.4%
On penalty kill, MacKinnon has a +21.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Compher is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (503).
Compher shoots right. MacKinnon is 44.5% vs right-shot opponents (308).
Home / Away
Compher
MacKinnon
Home
50.7% (872)
49.4% (553)
Away
46.8% (793)
40.0% (615)
By Period
Compher
MacKinnon
P1
49.9%
45.3%
P2
47.9%
42.7%
P3
49.0%
45.1%
OT
46.9%
46.2%
Final 5 min
51.0%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
48.8%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
44.4%