J.T. Compher vs Nathan MacKinnon
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
J.T. Compher holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on offensive-zone draws (93% H2H, 14 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 47.8% vs MacKinnon 46.8% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
MacKinnon leads 19-11 in 30 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 74.0%
Defensive zone
Compher 59.0%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 59.2%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 60.6%
39.4%
60.6%
Compher
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
19
(30 meetings)
11
19
Compher
MacKinnon
Last 10: Compher 6-4 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
1
13
Compher
MacKinnon
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Compher
7
2
Compher
MacKinnon
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
3
4
Compher
MacKinnon
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (5,716)
46.1% (11,218)
+2.6%
Power Play
52.6% (682)
53.3% (1,412)
-0.7%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (1,421)
42.8% (502)
-0.9%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Compher is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (2,193).
Compher shoots right. MacKinnon is 46.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,643).
Home / Away
Compher
MacKinnon
Home
49.1% (3,894)
49.7% (6,444)
Away
46.6% (3,925)
44.0% (6,689)
By Period
Compher
MacKinnon
P1
49.1%
47.4%
P2
47.3%
46.6%
P3
47.4%
46.1%
OT
40.2%
48.4%
Final 5 min
46.2%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
47.8%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 18:39 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 09:02 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 08:32 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 2 | 17:32 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 06:34 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 09:29 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 3 | 13:19 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 3 | 06:41 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 2 | 15:56 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 2 | 12:24 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 1 | 10:12 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 1 | 09:59 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 6, 2024 | 2 | 19:12 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 6, 2024 | 2 | 18:53 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 6, 2024 | 2 | 16:12 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 6, 2024 | 2 | 10:14 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 6, 2024 | 2 | 10:09 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 6, 2024 | 2 | 04:39 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 6, 2024 | 1 | 17:01 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 6, 2024 | 1 | 15:06 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |