Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +14.9% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on defensive-zone draws (82% H2H, 11 meetings). Compher wins 43.3% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 45.8% vs O'Reilly 59.5% (-14.9%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 19-2 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Compher 93.4%
Defensive zone
Compher 93.6%
Neutral zone
Compher 90.1%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 92.9%
92.9%
7.1%
Compher
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
19
(21 meetings)
2
19
Compher
O'Reilly
Last 10: Compher 1-9 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
6
Compher
O'Reilly
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
9
Compher
O'Reilly
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
4
Compher
O'Reilly
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
44.3% (431)
60.3% (1,517)
-16.0%
Power Play
50.7% (73)
61.5% (387)
-10.8%
Penalty Kill
44.6% (101)
55.0% (220)
-10.4%
On even strength, O'Reilly has a +16.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Compher is 43.3% vs left-shot opponents (402).
Compher shoots right. O'Reilly is 59.7% vs right-shot opponents (713).
Home / Away
Compher
O'Reilly
Home
47.2% (282)
62.5% (1,143)
Away
43.3% (323)
57.1% (981)
By Period
Compher
O'Reilly
P1
47.6%
56.8%
P2
40.3%
64.6%
P3
47.4%
58.5%
OT
66.7%
66.7%
Final 5 min
45.5%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
45.1%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
60.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2018 | 3 | 19:55 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Feb 11, 2018 | 3 | 19:44 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 11, 2018 | 3 | 12:06 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 11, 2018 | 3 | 08:29 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 11, 2018 | 3 | 04:02 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 11, 2018 | 3 | 00:09 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 11, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 11, 2018 | 2 | 18:09 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 11, 2018 | 2 | 17:59 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 11, 2018 | 2 | 11:45 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 11, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 11, 2018 | 1 | 19:47 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 11, 2018 | 1 | 13:53 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 11, 2018 | 1 | 02:01 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 11, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 5, 2017 | 3 | 00:45 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 5, 2017 | 3 | 00:33 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 5, 2017 | 2 | 19:15 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 5, 2017 | 2 | 10:37 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 5, 2017 | 2 | 08:08 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |