Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Compher on defensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings). Compher wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 45.6% vs O'Reilly 55.3% (-10.6%)
H2H factor
Compher leads 10-9 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 86.2%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 51.2%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 71.6%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 67.1%
32.9%
67.1%
Compher
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
9
(19 meetings)
10
9
Compher
O'Reilly
Last 10: Compher 8-2 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Compher
O'Reilly
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Compher
4
3
Compher
O'Reilly
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Compher
O'Reilly
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (847)
56.2% (983)
-10.4%
Power Play
40.8% (49)
55.5% (254)
-14.7%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (117)
52.0% (102)
-10.1%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Compher is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (740).
Compher shoots right. O'Reilly is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (491).
Home / Away
Compher
O'Reilly
Home
45.1% (519)
56.2% (697)
Away
45.1% (494)
55.1% (642)
By Period
Compher
O'Reilly
P1
45.8%
54.5%
P2
46.2%
55.5%
P3
43.2%
57.1%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
41.6%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
45.1%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 08:27 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 08:24 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 00:17 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 18:56 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 13:25 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 11:51 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 03:17 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 1 | 17:41 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 1 | 10:47 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 3 | 06:41 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 3 | 06:35 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 3 | 03:27 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 3 | 03:17 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 2 | 17:59 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 2 | 14:25 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 2 | 01:02 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 1 | 08:55 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 1 | 08:49 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |