Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 48.9% vs O'Reilly 55.2% (-7.0%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 13-7 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Compher 72.7%
Defensive zone
Compher 65.7%
Neutral zone
Compher 67.8%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 69.4%
69.4%
30.6%
Compher
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
13
(20 meetings)
7
13
Compher
O'Reilly
Last 10: Compher 3-7 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
7
Compher
O'Reilly
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Compher
4
2
Compher
O'Reilly
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
4
Compher
O'Reilly
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (1,149)
56.1% (690)
-6.8%
Power Play
53.9% (204)
64.6% (96)
-10.7%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (312)
45.9% (109)
-2.3%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Compher is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,162).
Compher shoots right. O'Reilly is 56.5% vs right-shot opponents (292).
Home / Away
Compher
O'Reilly
Home
50.7% (872)
58.3% (408)
Away
46.8% (793)
53.6% (487)
By Period
Compher
O'Reilly
P1
49.9%
57.7%
P2
47.9%
54.8%
P3
49.0%
55.2%
OT
46.9%
45.5%
Final 5 min
51.0%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
48.8%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2022 | 3 | 18:24 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 11, 2022 | 3 | 11:47 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 11, 2022 | 3 | 07:52 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 11, 2022 | 2 | 15:22 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 11, 2022 | 2 | 07:37 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 11, 2022 | 2 | 06:43 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 11, 2022 | 1 | 18:22 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 11, 2022 | 1 | 14:28 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 11, 2022 | 1 | 10:33 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 11, 2022 | 1 | 10:22 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 11, 2022 | 1 | 08:35 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 14, 2022 | 3 | 08:42 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 14, 2022 | 2 | 19:58 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 14, 2022 | 2 | 18:32 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 14, 2022 | 2 | 05:11 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 14, 2022 | 2 | 03:14 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 14, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 14, 2022 | 1 | 12:38 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 14, 2022 | 1 | 05:57 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 14, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |