Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +12.9% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (77% H2H, 22 meetings). Compher wins 43.8% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 46.6% vs O'Reilly 58.1% (-12.9%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 21-9 in 30 meetings
Offensive zone
Compher 83.0%
Defensive zone
Compher 94.3%
Neutral zone
Compher 90.4%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 85.6%
85.6%
14.4%
Compher
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
21
(30 meetings)
9
21
Compher
O'Reilly
Last 10: Compher 4-6 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
5
17
Compher
O'Reilly
22 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Compher
3
2
Compher
O'Reilly
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
2
Compher
O'Reilly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (288)
58.6% (841)
-9.6%
Power Play
53.3% (30)
59.9% (207)
-6.6%
Penalty Kill
38.6% (153)
58.1% (148)
-19.5%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +19.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Compher is 43.8% vs left-shot opponents (356).
Compher shoots right. O'Reilly is 64.4% vs right-shot opponents (331).
Home / Away
Compher
O'Reilly
Home
41.2% (211)
59.8% (594)
Away
49.6% (260)
57.8% (602)
By Period
Compher
O'Reilly
P1
47.3%
61.7%
P2
44.4%
56.2%
P3
46.2%
59.5%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.4%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
45.9%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
58.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2021 | 2 | 07:44 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 3 | 17:48 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 3 | 09:42 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 2 | 18:50 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 1 | 00:54 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 3 | 08:45 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 3 | 04:45 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 3 | 00:50 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 2 | 13:09 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 2 | 10:28 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 1 | 12:23 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 1 | 01:41 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 3 | 19:52 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 3 | 09:00 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 1 | 14:08 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Apr 3, 2021 | 3 | 01:08 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 3, 2021 | 2 | 05:35 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Apr 3, 2021 | 2 | 01:08 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 2, 2021 | 3 | 15:08 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 2, 2021 | 2 | 16:47 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |