Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.8% vs 48.7%). Look for Compher on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 48.9% vs Steel 48.8% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Steel 56.5%
Defensive zone
Compher 70.8%
Neutral zone
Steel 52.7%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Compher
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Compher
Steel
Last 9: Compher 6-3 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Compher
3
1
Compher
Steel
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Compher
2
0
Compher
Steel
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Steel
1
2
Compher
Steel
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (1,149)
49.5% (553)
-0.2%
Power Play
53.9% (204)
61.3% (31)
-7.4%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (312)
30.6% (49)
+13.0%
On penalty kill, Compher has a +13.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Compher is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,162).
Compher shoots right. Steel is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (255).
Home / Away
Compher
Steel
Home
50.7% (872)
46.4% (347)
Away
46.8% (793)
51.4% (286)
By Period
Compher
Steel
P1
49.9%
52.1%
P2
47.9%
49.8%
P3
49.0%
45.2%
OT
46.9%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.0%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
48.8%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2023 | 3 | 19:40 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 29, 2023 | 3 | 16:08 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Feb 15, 2023 | 2 | 14:15 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Feb 15, 2023 | 2 | 07:09 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Feb 15, 2023 | 1 | 15:14 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 3 | 08:23 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 2 | 01:37 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 1 | 16:50 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 1 | 08:48 | Neutral | Sam Steel |