Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Steel on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Compher wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 45.6% vs Steel 52.8% (-8.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Compher 62.9%
Defensive zone
Compher 60.5%
Neutral zone
Compher 62.1%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 62.3%
62.3%
37.7%
Compher
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Compher
Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Compher
1
0
Compher
Steel
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Steel
0
3
Compher
Steel
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (847)
56.9% (320)
-11.1%
Power Play
40.8% (49)
71.4% (7)
-30.6%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (117)
37.0% (73)
+4.9%
On power play, Steel has a +30.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Compher is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (740).
Compher shoots right. Steel is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (176).
Home / Away
Compher
Steel
Home
45.1% (519)
55.9% (202)
Away
45.1% (494)
51.0% (198)
By Period
Compher
Steel
P1
45.8%
55.5%
P2
46.2%
55.1%
P3
43.2%
50.3%
Final 5 min
41.6%
60.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
45.1%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2025 | 3 | 15:26 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Jan 19, 2025 | 2 | 17:06 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Jan 19, 2025 | 2 | 17:01 | Neutral | Sam Steel |