Scouting Report
J.T. Compher holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 51.8% vs Steel 50.6% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Steel 52.3%
Defensive zone
Compher 62.9%
Neutral zone
Compher 57.1%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 52.8%
52.8%
47.2%
Compher
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Compher
Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Compher
2
0
Compher
Steel
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Steel
0
1
Compher
Steel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (757)
52.5% (200)
+1.4%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
71.4% (7)
-16.6%
Penalty Kill
35.6% (90)
40.0% (45)
-4.4%
On power play, Steel has a +16.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Compher is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Compher shoots right. Steel is 46.2% vs right-shot opponents (104).
Home / Away
Compher
Steel
Home
52.4% (429)
49.5% (109)
Away
51.7% (449)
51.7% (143)
By Period
Compher
Steel
P1
56.0%
49.5%
P2
50.0%
47.5%
P3
50.6%
56.6%
OT
50.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
49.3%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
52.1%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 07:44 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 00:33 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 02:30 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |