Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Steel on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 47.8% vs Steel 50.2% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Steel leads 16-16 in 32 meetings
Offensive zone
Steel 59.2%
Defensive zone
Compher 72.0%
Neutral zone
Steel 51.1%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
Compher
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
16
(32 meetings)
16
16
Compher
Steel
Last 10: Compher 6-4 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Compher
8
4
Compher
Steel
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Compher
5
3
Compher
Steel
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Steel
3
9
Compher
Steel
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (5,716)
50.6% (2,876)
-1.9%
Power Play
52.6% (682)
62.6% (179)
-10.0%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (1,421)
37.4% (254)
+4.5%
On power play, Steel has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Compher is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (5,626).
Compher shoots right. Steel is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,237).
Home / Away
Compher
Steel
Home
49.1% (3,894)
50.0% (1,560)
Away
46.6% (3,925)
50.4% (1,749)
By Period
Compher
Steel
P1
49.1%
51.9%
P2
47.3%
49.5%
P3
47.4%
49.6%
OT
40.2%
41.9%
Final 5 min
46.2%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
47.8%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 07:44 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 00:33 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 02:30 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Jan 19, 2025 | 3 | 15:26 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Jan 19, 2025 | 2 | 17:06 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Jan 19, 2025 | 2 | 17:01 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 1 | 09:15 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 29, 2023 | 3 | 19:40 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 29, 2023 | 3 | 16:08 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Feb 15, 2023 | 2 | 14:15 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Feb 15, 2023 | 2 | 07:09 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Feb 15, 2023 | 1 | 15:14 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 3 | 08:23 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 2 | 01:37 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 1 | 16:50 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 1 | 08:48 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 3 | 19:55 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 3 | 19:28 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Jan 22, 2021 | 3 | 06:20 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Jan 22, 2021 | 3 | 02:57 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |