Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (44.8% vs 45.0%). Compher wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 45.2% vs Steel 46.6% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Steel 53.7%
Defensive zone
Compher 51.3%
Neutral zone
Compher 51.3%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 53.7%
46.3%
53.7%
Compher
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Compher
Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Compher
1
0
Compher
Steel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (782)
44.6% (177)
+0.9%
Power Play
44.2% (77)
66.7% (3)
-22.5%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (180)
44.8% (29)
-3.1%
On power play, Steel has a +22.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Compher is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (750).
Compher shoots right. Steel is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (100).
Home / Away
Compher
Steel
Home
44.0% (484)
46.7% (90)
Away
45.4% (555)
43.7% (119)
By Period
Compher
Steel
P1
46.2%
47.8%
P2
44.8%
47.0%
P3
44.2%
41.3%
OT
25.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
37.8%
39.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
44.8%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2024 | 1 | 09:15 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |