Scouting Report
J.T. Compher holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Compher wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 48.0% vs Aho 46.4% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 83.1%
Defensive zone
Compher 73.2%
Neutral zone
Aho 57.5%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 69.5%
30.5%
69.5%
Compher
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Compher
Aho
Last 6: Compher 2-4 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
4
Compher
Aho
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Compher
1
0
Compher
Aho
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Compher
1
0
Compher
Aho
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (480)
46.2% (744)
+3.8%
Power Play
52.9% (51)
44.6% (112)
+8.3%
Penalty Kill
40.2% (184)
45.5% (33)
-5.3%
On power play, Compher has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Compher is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (529).
Compher shoots right. Aho is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (349).
Home / Away
Compher
Aho
Home
51.2% (328)
46.7% (445)
Away
44.7% (387)
45.3% (444)
By Period
Compher
Aho
P1
50.4%
48.1%
P2
47.2%
44.9%
P3
46.2%
45.8%
OT
25.0%
12.5%
Final 5 min
45.0%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
47.7%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
46.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2020 | 3 | 18:21 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Feb 28, 2020 | 3 | 11:47 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Feb 28, 2020 | 3 | 05:41 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 28, 2020 | 3 | 03:04 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 28, 2020 | 1 | 16:46 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 28, 2020 | 1 | 09:38 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |