Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Compher on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 48.9% vs Aho 51.2% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 73.4%
Defensive zone
Compher 69.9%
Neutral zone
Aho 52.3%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Compher
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Compher
Aho
Last 6: Compher 4-2 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
2
Compher
Aho
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Compher
3
0
Compher
Aho
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Compher
1
0
Compher
Aho
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (1,149)
48.5% (778)
+0.8%
Power Play
53.9% (204)
63.4% (191)
-9.5%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (312)
50.8% (65)
-7.2%
On power play, Aho has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Compher is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,162).
Compher shoots right. Aho is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (372).
Home / Away
Compher
Aho
Home
50.7% (872)
51.3% (530)
Away
46.8% (793)
51.4% (504)
By Period
Compher
Aho
P1
49.9%
50.0%
P2
47.9%
51.3%
P3
49.0%
52.1%
OT
46.9%
66.7%
Final 5 min
51.0%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
48.8%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2022 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 1 | 13:18 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 1 | 11:09 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 1 | 01:57 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 2 | 06:42 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 1 | 13:33 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |