Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Compher wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 45.2% vs Aho 53.8% (-9.3%)
H2H factor
Aho leads 10-9 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 77.3%
Defensive zone
Compher 72.0%
Neutral zone
Compher 51.3%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Compher
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
10
(19 meetings)
9
10
Compher
Aho
Last 10: Compher 5-5 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
1
6
Compher
Aho
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Compher
6
2
Compher
Aho
8 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Compher
Aho
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (782)
51.2% (785)
-5.7%
Power Play
44.2% (77)
63.8% (213)
-19.6%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (180)
57.9% (57)
-16.2%
On power play, Aho has a +19.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Compher is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (750).
Compher shoots right. Aho is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (406).
Home / Away
Compher
Aho
Home
44.0% (484)
54.9% (548)
Away
45.4% (555)
53.3% (507)
By Period
Compher
Aho
P1
46.2%
52.8%
P2
44.8%
58.9%
P3
44.2%
50.6%
OT
25.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
37.8%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
44.8%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2024 | 3 | 01:30 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 2 | 06:51 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 1 | 10:06 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 1 | 02:50 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Jan 19, 2024 | 3 | 16:41 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 19, 2024 | 3 | 12:56 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 19, 2024 | 3 | 10:15 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Jan 19, 2024 | 3 | 08:12 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 19, 2024 | 3 | 08:04 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Jan 19, 2024 | 3 | 03:34 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Jan 19, 2024 | 3 | 03:20 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Jan 19, 2024 | 3 | 01:07 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Jan 19, 2024 | 3 | 01:00 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 19, 2024 | 3 | 00:53 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 19, 2024 | 2 | 13:49 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 19, 2024 | 2 | 04:06 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 19, 2024 | 1 | 14:57 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 19, 2024 | 1 | 08:19 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |