Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Compher on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 51.3% vs Aho 52.2% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 76.5%
Defensive zone
Compher 72.8%
Neutral zone
Aho 52.3%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 60.1%
39.9%
60.1%
Compher
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Compher
Aho
Last 9: Compher 5-4 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
2
4
Compher
Aho
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Compher
3
0
Compher
Aho
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (471)
51.6% (819)
+0.6%
Power Play
65.6% (61)
58.4% (173)
+7.2%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (125)
46.3% (67)
-4.7%
On power play, Compher has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Compher is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (482).
Compher shoots right. Aho is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (385).
Home / Away
Compher
Aho
Home
54.4% (362)
53.9% (568)
Away
47.8% (295)
50.7% (491)
By Period
Compher
Aho
P1
49.6%
55.4%
P2
53.6%
51.2%
P3
51.4%
50.9%
OT
57.1%
28.6%
Final 5 min
46.8%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
51.4%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2022 | 3 | 06:10 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 2 | 09:51 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 1 | 19:46 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 1 | 19:36 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 1 | 15:13 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 3 | 15:26 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 3 | 07:44 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 3 | 01:53 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 1 | 10:26 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |