Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.0% vs 50.5%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 50.9% vs Aho 50.4% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 79.9%
Defensive zone
Compher 71.6%
Neutral zone
Aho 53.3%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 66.6%
33.4%
66.6%
Compher
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Compher
Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
1
Compher
Aho
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aho
0
1
Compher
Aho
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (582)
50.5% (647)
+2.4%
Power Play
38.5% (13)
54.2% (131)
-15.7%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (66)
38.1% (42)
-1.7%
On power play, Aho has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Compher is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (460).
Compher shoots right. Aho is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (289).
Home / Away
Compher
Aho
Home
52.2% (360)
53.9% (445)
Away
49.5% (301)
46.4% (375)
By Period
Compher
Aho
P1
55.4%
48.7%
P2
49.8%
51.4%
P3
48.5%
50.8%
OT
33.3%
58.8%
Final 5 min
50.6%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
60.0%▲
49.0%
51.0%
Aho
54.0%▼
56.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2026 | 2 | 18:23 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 17:33 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |