Scouting Report
J.T. Compher holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 51.8% vs Aho 50.0% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 81.7%
Defensive zone
Compher 69.6%
Neutral zone
Aho 58.2%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 63.0%
37.0%
63.0%
Compher
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Compher
Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
2
Compher
Aho
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Compher
1
0
Compher
Aho
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aho
0
1
Compher
Aho
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (757)
49.9% (851)
+4.0%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
53.5% (144)
+1.3%
Penalty Kill
35.6% (90)
43.3% (60)
-7.7%
On penalty kill, Aho has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Compher is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Compher shoots right. Aho is 55.5% vs right-shot opponents (364).
Home / Away
Compher
Aho
Home
52.4% (429)
53.2% (554)
Away
51.7% (449)
46.5% (501)
By Period
Compher
Aho
P1
56.0%
49.1%
P2
50.0%
50.8%
P3
50.6%
49.7%
OT
50.0%
58.8%
Final 5 min
49.3%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
52.1%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 07:07 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 06:32 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 2 | 18:23 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 17:33 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |