Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Compher wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 45.6% vs Aho 54.9% (-10.2%)
H2H factor
Aho leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Compher 62.7%
Defensive zone
Compher 85.7%
Neutral zone
Compher 68.5%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 74.2%
74.2%
25.8%
Compher
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
8
(10 meetings)
2
8
Compher
Aho
Last 10: Compher 2-8 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
5
Compher
Aho
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Aho
2
3
Compher
Aho
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (847)
54.5% (870)
-8.7%
Power Play
40.8% (49)
62.4% (266)
-21.6%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (117)
37.1% (62)
+4.8%
On power play, Aho has a +21.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Compher is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (740).
Compher shoots right. Aho is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (393).
Home / Away
Compher
Aho
Home
45.1% (519)
53.9% (603)
Away
45.1% (494)
56.8% (595)
By Period
Compher
Aho
P1
45.8%
54.1%
P2
46.2%
55.0%
P3
43.2%
57.4%
OT
33.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
41.6%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
45.1%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2025 | 3 | 17:52 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Apr 4, 2025 | 3 | 15:22 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Apr 4, 2025 | 2 | 05:43 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 4, 2025 | 1 | 15:51 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 4, 2025 | 1 | 15:45 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 1 | 15:30 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 1 | 00:27 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 2 | 14:24 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 2 | 14:05 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 2 | 04:16 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |