Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 51.8% vs Hertl 57.2% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 70.9%
Defensive zone
Compher 84.7%
Neutral zone
Compher 63.0%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
Compher
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Compher
Hertl
Last 7: Compher 2-5 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
1
3
Compher
Hertl
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
1
2
Compher
Hertl
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (757)
58.1% (823)
-4.2%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
56.2% (265)
-1.4%
Penalty Kill
35.6% (90)
62.9% (35)
-27.3%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +27.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Compher is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Compher shoots right. Hertl is 59.6% vs right-shot opponents (433).
Home / Away
Compher
Hertl
Home
52.4% (429)
59.7% (561)
Away
51.7% (449)
55.9% (562)
By Period
Compher
Hertl
P1
56.0%
51.6%
P2
50.0%
63.8%
P3
50.6%
58.6%
OT
50.0%
28.6%
Final 5 min
49.3%
58.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
52.1%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
57.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2026 | 2 | 02:51 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 04:02 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 01:06 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 14:39 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 11:50 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 04:31 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 1 | 19:59 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |