Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +12.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Compher wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 45.2% vs Hertl 56.8% (-12.7%)
H2H factor
Hertl leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Compher 65.1%
Defensive zone
Compher 67.5%
Neutral zone
Compher 73.9%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 68.1%
68.1%
31.9%
Compher
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Compher
Hertl
Last 10: Compher 2-8 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
2
3
Compher
Hertl
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
1
3
Compher
Hertl
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
1
2
Compher
Hertl
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (782)
57.0% (718)
-11.5%
Power Play
44.2% (77)
64.9% (188)
-20.7%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (180)
44.2% (77)
-2.5%
On power play, Hertl has a +20.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Compher is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (750).
Compher shoots right. Hertl is 62.5% vs right-shot opponents (352).
Home / Away
Compher
Hertl
Home
44.0% (484)
59.2% (463)
Away
45.4% (555)
56.0% (520)
By Period
Compher
Hertl
P1
46.2%
56.3%
P2
44.8%
55.4%
P3
44.2%
60.5%
OT
25.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
37.8%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
44.8%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
57.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2024 | 3 | 11:18 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 3 | 08:08 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 3 | 05:17 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 3 | 01:56 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 2 | 15:01 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 2 | 13:36 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 1 | 17:11 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 1 | 14:05 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 1 | 10:54 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 1 | 10:48 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 1 | 05:32 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 1 | 01:03 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |