Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on offensive-zone draws (77% H2H, 31 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 47.8% vs Hertl 54.2% (-6.4%)
H2H factor
Hertl leads 44-34 in 78 meetings
Offensive zone
Compher 66.3%
Defensive zone
Compher 82.0%
Neutral zone
Compher 72.2%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 73.5%
73.5%
26.5%
Compher
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
34
-
44
(78 meetings)
34
44
Compher
Hertl
Last 10: Compher 3-7 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
7
24
Compher
Hertl
31 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Compher
20
9
Compher
Hertl
29 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
7
11
Compher
Hertl
18 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (5,716)
53.8% (8,268)
-5.1%
Power Play
52.6% (682)
59.3% (1,975)
-6.7%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (1,421)
46.3% (806)
-4.4%
On power play, Hertl has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Compher is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (5,626).
Compher shoots right. Hertl is 56.8% vs right-shot opponents (4,133).
Home / Away
Compher
Hertl
Home
49.1% (3,894)
55.7% (5,344)
Away
46.6% (3,925)
52.8% (5,705)
By Period
Compher
Hertl
P1
49.1%
53.6%
P2
47.3%
54.1%
P3
47.4%
55.3%
OT
40.2%
46.5%
Final 5 min
46.2%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
47.8%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2026 | 2 | 02:51 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 04:02 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 01:06 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 14:39 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 11:50 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 04:31 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 1 | 19:59 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 2 | 08:59 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 2 | 07:07 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 2 | 01:49 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 1 | 16:10 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 1 | 10:35 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 1 | 04:47 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 3 | 11:18 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 3 | 08:08 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 3 | 05:17 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 3 | 01:56 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 2 | 15:01 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 2 | 13:36 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 1 | 17:11 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |