Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 48.9% vs Hertl 54.5% (-6.0%)
H2H factor
Hertl leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Hertl 79.4%
Defensive zone
Compher 70.0%
Neutral zone
Hertl 52.7%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 53.9%
46.1%
53.9%
Compher
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Compher
Hertl
Last 10: Compher 5-5 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
3
Compher
Hertl
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Compher
3
0
Compher
Hertl
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Compher
Hertl
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (1,149)
54.1% (1,117)
-4.8%
Power Play
53.9% (204)
59.8% (296)
-5.9%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (312)
34.4% (32)
+9.2%
On penalty kill, Compher has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Compher is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,162).
Compher shoots right. Hertl is 61.2% vs right-shot opponents (562).
Home / Away
Compher
Hertl
Home
50.7% (872)
54.3% (709)
Away
46.8% (793)
55.3% (736)
By Period
Compher
Hertl
P1
49.9%
51.6%
P2
47.9%
53.6%
P3
49.0%
58.6%
OT
46.9%
45.5%
Final 5 min
51.0%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
48.8%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2023 | 2 | 09:08 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 1 | 17:46 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 1 | 15:51 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 1 | 15:43 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 1 | 15:36 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 3 | 12:43 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 2 | 07:49 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 2 | 04:11 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 2 | 01:22 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 1 | 04:08 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |