Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 51.3% vs Hertl 52.3% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Compher 57.1%
Defensive zone
Compher 74.9%
Neutral zone
Compher 55.1%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 60.7%
60.7%
39.3%
Compher
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Compher
Hertl
Last 5: Compher 1-4 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
1
3
Compher
Hertl
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Compher
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (471)
51.6% (1,084)
+0.6%
Power Play
65.6% (61)
61.0% (246)
+4.6%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (125)
44.1% (136)
-2.5%
On power play, Compher has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Compher is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (482).
Compher shoots right. Hertl is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (526).
Home / Away
Compher
Hertl
Home
54.4% (362)
55.2% (696)
Away
47.8% (295)
50.0% (770)
By Period
Compher
Hertl
P1
49.6%
55.4%
P2
53.6%
54.8%
P3
51.4%
48.9%
OT
57.1%
33.3%
Final 5 min
46.8%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
51.4%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2022 | 3 | 06:25 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 31, 2022 | 1 | 09:40 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 18, 2022 | 3 | 16:34 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 18, 2022 | 3 | 05:37 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 18, 2022 | 3 | 01:34 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |