Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +10.8% FO% edge overall. Compher wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 45.6% vs Hertl 55.4% (-10.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 79.4%
Defensive zone
Compher 72.4%
Neutral zone
Hertl 56.3%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 53.3%
53.3%
46.7%
Compher
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Compher
Hertl
Last 6: Compher 3-3 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Compher
Hertl
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Compher
Hertl
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (847)
54.1% (717)
-8.3%
Power Play
40.8% (49)
61.9% (210)
-21.1%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (117)
58.1% (31)
-16.2%
On power play, Hertl has a +21.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Compher is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (740).
Compher shoots right. Hertl is 56.6% vs right-shot opponents (362).
Home / Away
Compher
Hertl
Home
45.1% (519)
58.1% (492)
Away
45.1% (494)
53.6% (466)
By Period
Compher
Hertl
P1
45.8%
57.1%
P2
46.2%
54.0%
P3
43.2%
56.6%
OT
33.3%
66.7%
Final 5 min
41.6%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
45.1%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2025 | 2 | 08:59 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 2 | 07:07 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 2 | 01:49 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 1 | 16:10 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 1 | 10:35 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 1 | 04:47 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |