Scouting Report
J.T. Compher holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Novak on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 48.9% vs Novak 45.6% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Novak 70.9%
Defensive zone
Compher 60.9%
Neutral zone
Novak 60.3%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 64.6%
35.4%
64.6%
Compher
Novak
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Compher
Novak
Last 5: Compher 2-3 Novak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Novak
1
3
Compher
Novak
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Compher
1
0
Compher
Novak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (1,149)
43.8% (384)
+5.5%
Power Play
53.9% (204)
58.8% (17)
-4.9%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (312)
100.0% (1)
-56.4%
On penalty kill, Novak has a +56.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Compher is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,162).
Compher shoots right. Novak is 45.6% vs right-shot opponents (149).
Home / Away
Compher
Novak
Home
50.7% (872)
46.5% (202)
Away
46.8% (793)
42.5% (200)
By Period
Compher
Novak
P1
49.9%
49.2%
P2
47.9%
44.2%
P3
49.0%
40.0%
OT
46.9%
100.0%
Final 5 min
51.0%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
48.8%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2023 | 2 | 12:02 | Offensive | Tommy Novak |
| Apr 14, 2023 | 2 | 08:22 | Offensive | Tommy Novak |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 3 | 12:30 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 2 | 19:08 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 1 | 01:27 | Offensive | Tommy Novak |