Scouting Report
J.T. Compher holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Novak on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 47.8% vs Novak 43.3% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Novak leads 11-7 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Novak 88.4%
Defensive zone
Compher 54.2%
Neutral zone
Novak 66.7%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 78.8%
21.2%
78.8%
Compher
Novak
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
11
(18 meetings)
7
11
Compher
Novak
Last 10: Compher 4-6 Novak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Novak
3
9
Compher
Novak
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Compher
2
0
Compher
Novak
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Compher
Novak
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (5,716)
42.1% (1,539)
+6.6%
Power Play
52.6% (682)
51.9% (133)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (1,421)
50.0% (2)
-8.1%
On penalty kill, Novak has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Compher is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (5,626).
Compher shoots right. Novak is 42.3% vs right-shot opponents (596).
Home / Away
Compher
Novak
Home
49.1% (3,894)
45.3% (814)
Away
46.6% (3,925)
40.6% (860)
By Period
Compher
Novak
P1
49.1%
43.9%
P2
47.3%
42.8%
P3
47.4%
41.7%
OT
40.2%
66.7%
Final 5 min
46.2%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
47.8%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 03:44 | Neutral | Tommy Novak |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 2 | 01:22 | Offensive | Tommy Novak |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 2 | 01:01 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 11:21 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 05:30 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 2 | 15:22 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 2 | 06:22 | Offensive | Tommy Novak |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 1 | 04:45 | Neutral | Tommy Novak |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 1 | 01:40 | Offensive | Tommy Novak |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 1 | 02:14 | Offensive | Tommy Novak |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 2 | 05:29 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 2 | 01:06 | Offensive | Tommy Novak |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 1 | 11:58 | Offensive | Tommy Novak |
| Apr 14, 2023 | 2 | 12:02 | Offensive | Tommy Novak |
| Apr 14, 2023 | 2 | 08:22 | Offensive | Tommy Novak |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 3 | 12:30 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 2 | 19:08 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 1 | 01:27 | Offensive | Tommy Novak |