Scouting Report
J.T. Compher holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Compher wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 45.6% vs Novak 45.0% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Novak 63.5%
Defensive zone
Compher 72.2%
Neutral zone
Compher 53.3%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 57.9%
42.1%
57.9%
Compher
Novak
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Compher
Novak
Last 6: Compher 3-3 Novak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Compher
Novak
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Compher
Novak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (847)
42.9% (198)
+2.9%
Power Play
40.8% (49)
40.9% (22)
-0.1%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Compher is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (740).
Compher shoots right. Novak is 39.4% vs right-shot opponents (94).
Home / Away
Compher
Novak
Home
45.1% (519)
40.9% (110)
Away
45.1% (494)
44.5% (110)
By Period
Compher
Novak
P1
45.8%
39.1%
P2
46.2%
43.9%
P3
43.2%
44.9%
OT
33.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
41.6%
25.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
45.1%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
42.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 11:21 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 05:30 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 2 | 15:22 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 2 | 06:22 | Offensive | Tommy Novak |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 1 | 04:45 | Neutral | Tommy Novak |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 1 | 01:40 | Offensive | Tommy Novak |