Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Miller wins 56.1% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 52.6% vs Evans 50.1% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Miller 52.5%
Defensive zone
Evans 63.2%
Neutral zone
Evans 59.4%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 56.7%
43.3%
56.7%
Miller
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Miller
Evans
Last 6: Miller 2-4 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
2
0
Miller
Evans
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
0
2
Miller
Evans
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
0
2
Miller
Evans
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (432)
52.2% (320)
+2.7%
Power Play
23.1% (13)
100.0% (2)
-76.9%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (81)
41.0% (83)
+7.1%
On power play, Evans has a +76.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Miller is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (164).
Miller shoots left. Evans is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (285).
Home / Away
Miller
Evans
Home
55.4% (294)
54.3% (223)
Away
50.0% (232)
45.1% (182)
By Period
Miller
Evans
P1
47.5%
53.9%
P2
51.7%
44.9%
P3
60.5%
52.5%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
48.1%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.0%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2021 | 3 | 07:44 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 10, 2021 | 2 | 19:23 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 10, 2021 | 2 | 01:56 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 23, 2021 | 2 | 15:29 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Jan 23, 2021 | 1 | 15:47 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 23, 2021 | 1 | 02:34 | Neutral | Jake Evans |