Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Miller wins 57.2% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 54.5% vs Evans 51.7% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Miller 74.5%
Defensive zone
Evans 60.1%
Neutral zone
Miller 52.0%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 56.2%
56.2%
43.8%
Miller
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Miller
Evans
Last 5: Miller 3-2 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
2
0
Miller
Evans
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
0
2
Miller
Evans
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Miller
1
0
Miller
Evans
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (589)
54.5% (483)
+1.2%
Power Play
60.9% (138)
58.3% (12)
+2.6%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (159)
43.9% (155)
+3.3%
On penalty kill, Miller has a +3.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Miller is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (304).
Miller shoots left. Evans is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (495).
Home / Away
Miller
Evans
Home
56.1% (440)
49.4% (336)
Away
53.8% (446)
54.8% (314)
By Period
Miller
Evans
P1
52.3%
55.8%
P2
54.7%
51.7%
P3
57.2%
48.2%
OT
66.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
54.2%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
55.0%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2022 | 3 | 09:25 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 9, 2022 | 3 | 05:44 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 9, 2022 | 3 | 05:33 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 9, 2022 | 3 | 02:22 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 9, 2022 | 1 | 03:22 | Defensive | Jake Evans |