Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Miller on offensive-zone draws (87% H2H, 15 meetings). Miller wins 55.8% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 54.8% vs Evans 52.2% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Evans leads 20-18 in 38 meetings
Offensive zone
Miller 78.6%
Defensive zone
Evans 84.3%
Neutral zone
Evans 63.2%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Miller
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
20
(38 meetings)
18
20
Miller
Evans
Last 10: Miller 4-6 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
13
2
Miller
Evans
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
0
10
Miller
Evans
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
5
8
Miller
Evans
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (6,648)
53.8% (3,695)
+1.4%
Power Play
57.9% (1,285)
60.0% (70)
-2.1%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (913)
47.1% (1,222)
+1.1%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Miller is 55.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,937).
Miller shoots left. Evans is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,695).
Home / Away
Miller
Evans
Home
55.9% (4,578)
53.4% (2,593)
Away
53.8% (4,268)
51.0% (2,394)
By Period
Miller
Evans
P1
54.7%
54.0%
P2
55.6%
50.9%
P3
54.0%
52.0%
OT
62.3%
46.5%
Final 5 min
55.2%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
54.9%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 12:18 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 15:10 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 18:12 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 15:11 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 11:00 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 6, 2025 | 3 | 08:39 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 6, 2025 | 3 | 00:08 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Jan 6, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Jan 6, 2025 | 2 | 12:43 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Jan 6, 2025 | 2 | 12:34 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 6, 2025 | 1 | 17:46 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 6, 2025 | 1 | 13:18 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 6, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 1 | 16:42 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 1 | 10:40 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 1 | 10:18 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 1 | 09:46 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |