Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Miller on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Miller wins 61.4% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 55.9% vs Evans 52.0% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Miller 93.9%
Defensive zone
Evans 57.7%
Neutral zone
Miller 73.2%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 82.4%
82.4%
17.6%
Miller
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Miller
Evans
Last 9: Miller 7-2 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
7
0
Miller
Evans
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
0
2
Miller
Evans
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,033)
54.4% (807)
+1.9%
Power Play
62.5% (253)
55.0% (20)
+7.5%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (175)
46.1% (310)
+1.3%
On power play, Miller has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Miller is 61.4% vs right-shot opponents (458).
Miller shoots left. Evans is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (855).
Home / Away
Miller
Evans
Home
58.6% (734)
53.7% (581)
Away
54.1% (727)
50.5% (556)
By Period
Miller
Evans
P1
57.1%
54.6%
P2
57.0%
50.0%
P3
54.7%
52.3%
OT
62.5%
46.7%
Final 5 min
56.1%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
56.3%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2024 | 1 | 16:42 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 1 | 10:40 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 1 | 10:18 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 1 | 09:46 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 12, 2023 | 3 | 09:08 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 12, 2023 | 3 | 09:01 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 12, 2023 | 2 | 16:48 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 12, 2023 | 2 | 09:54 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 12, 2023 | 1 | 00:40 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |