Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Miller on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Miller wins 59.8% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 59.6% vs Evans 55.4% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Miller 81.7%
Defensive zone
Evans 74.8%
Neutral zone
Miller 52.3%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Miller
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Miller
Evans
Last 8: Miller 4-4 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Evans
0
1
Miller
Evans
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
0
2
Miller
Evans
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Miller
4
1
Miller
Evans
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
61.5% (540)
56.2% (477)
+5.3%
Power Play
65.6% (122)
70.0% (10)
-4.4%
Penalty Kill
47.7% (65)
55.4% (204)
-7.7%
On penalty kill, Evans has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Miller is 59.8% vs right-shot opponents (271).
Miller shoots left. Evans is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (516).
Home / Away
Miller
Evans
Home
62.1% (372)
55.3% (374)
Away
59.7% (355)
57.1% (317)
By Period
Miller
Evans
P1
58.9%
58.5%
P2
63.9%
55.7%
P3
59.8%
53.9%
OT
60.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
63.6%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
60.9%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
56.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 12:18 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 15:10 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 18:12 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 15:11 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 11:00 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |