Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Evans on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Miller wins 60.2% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 57.6% vs Evans 52.6% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Evans 55.6%
Defensive zone
Evans 94.1%
Neutral zone
Evans 75.8%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 75.3%
24.7%
75.3%
Miller
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Miller
Evans
Last 8: Miller 1-7 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Miller
Evans
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
0
2
Miller
Evans
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
0
4
Miller
Evans
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
58.2% (823)
54.4% (824)
+3.8%
Power Play
58.2% (165)
66.7% (9)
-8.5%
Penalty Kill
58.9% (90)
48.1% (289)
+10.8%
On penalty kill, Miller has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Miller is 60.2% vs right-shot opponents (324).
Miller shoots left. Evans is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (838).
Home / Away
Miller
Evans
Home
59.1% (558)
55.1% (541)
Away
57.3% (520)
50.8% (581)
By Period
Miller
Evans
P1
60.7%
51.8%
P2
57.5%
53.3%
P3
56.1%
53.8%
OT
73.3%
38.5%
Final 5 min
60.8%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
58.3%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2025 | 3 | 08:39 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 6, 2025 | 3 | 00:08 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Jan 6, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Jan 6, 2025 | 2 | 12:43 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Jan 6, 2025 | 2 | 12:34 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 6, 2025 | 1 | 17:46 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 6, 2025 | 1 | 13:18 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 6, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jake Evans |