Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Miller wins 53.2% vs right-shot opponents — Kastelic shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 53.8% vs Kastelic 54.5% (-4.2%)
Offensive zone
Miller 69.0%
Defensive zone
Miller 50.0%
Neutral zone
Miller 58.2%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 59.1%
59.1%
40.9%
Miller
Kastelic
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (933)
56.5% (115)
-1.0%
Power Play
61.6% (73)
100.0% (3)
-38.4%
Penalty Kill
45.8% (227)
100.0% (2)
-54.2%
On penalty kill, Kastelic has a +54.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Miller is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (464).
Miller shoots left. Kastelic is 60.8% vs left-shot opponents (79).
Home / Away
Miller
Kastelic
Home
53.5% (578)
54.8% (73)
Away
54.7% (655)
63.8% (47)
By Period
Miller
Kastelic
P1
58.3%
50.0%
P2
53.5%
62.5%
P3
50.1%
60.0%
Final 5 min
54.9%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
54.1%
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
58.3%