Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Miller wins 57.2% vs right-shot opponents — Kastelic shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 54.5% vs Kastelic 55.9% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Miller 80.5%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 75.0%
Neutral zone
Kastelic 51.8%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 69.7%
69.7%
30.3%
Miller
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Miller
Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Miller
Kastelic
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Miller
1
0
Miller
Kastelic
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (589)
58.0% (476)
-2.3%
Power Play
60.9% (138)
75.0% (8)
-14.1%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (159)
50.9% (106)
-3.7%
On power play, Kastelic has a +14.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Miller is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (304).
Miller shoots left. Kastelic is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (391).
Home / Away
Miller
Kastelic
Home
56.1% (440)
64.9% (265)
Away
53.8% (446)
50.5% (325)
By Period
Miller
Kastelic
P1
52.3%
58.5%
P2
54.7%
55.6%
P3
57.2%
56.8%
Final 5 min
54.2%
62.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
55.0%
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2023 | 3 | 14:26 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 2 | 13:50 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 2 | 04:14 | Offensive | Mark Kastelic |