Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Miller wins 60.2% vs right-shot opponents — Kastelic shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 57.6% vs Kastelic 53.4% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Miller 91.1%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 53.6%
Neutral zone
Miller 55.4%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 73.3%
73.3%
26.7%
Miller
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Miller
Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
1
0
Miller
Kastelic
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Miller
1
0
Miller
Kastelic
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
58.2% (823)
55.4% (345)
+2.8%
Power Play
58.2% (165)
50.0% (4)
+8.2%
Penalty Kill
58.9% (90)
35.3% (17)
+23.6%
On penalty kill, Miller has a +23.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Miller is 60.2% vs right-shot opponents (324).
Miller shoots left. Kastelic is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Home / Away
Miller
Kastelic
Home
59.1% (558)
50.6% (162)
Away
57.3% (520)
57.4% (204)
By Period
Miller
Kastelic
P1
60.7%
61.5%
P2
57.5%
52.8%
P3
56.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
60.8%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
58.3%
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2025 | 2 | 13:43 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 1 | 09:53 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |