Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.4% vs 49.6%). Look for Backlund on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 49.5% vs Backlund 49.6% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Miller 60.6%
Defensive zone
Backlund 59.7%
Neutral zone
Backlund 53.3%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 54.4%
45.6%
54.4%
Miller
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Miller
Backlund
Last 5: Miller 2-3 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
1
0
Miller
Backlund
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
3
Miller
Backlund
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Miller
1
0
Miller
Backlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (357)
49.2% (884)
-1.3%
Power Play
53.7% (162)
44.3% (61)
+9.4%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
57.0% (86)
-37.0%
On penalty kill, Backlund has a +37.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Miller is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (344).
Miller shoots left. Backlund is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (654).
Home / Away
Miller
Backlund
Home
53.0% (281)
49.3% (531)
Away
45.3% (243)
49.8% (500)
By Period
Miller
Backlund
P1
49.4%
47.1%
P2
53.3%
53.7%
P3
45.6%
47.8%
Final 5 min
50.4%
43.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
49.4%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2019 | 2 | 03:50 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 2 | 17:31 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 2 | 09:01 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 1 | 16:03 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 1 | 03:38 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |