Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on defensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Miller wins 57.4% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 57.6% vs Backlund 48.5% (+9.9%)
H2H factor
Backlund leads 12-12 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Miller 75.6%
Defensive zone
Backlund 76.1%
Neutral zone
Backlund 58.4%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 57.2%
42.8%
57.2%
Miller
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
12
(24 meetings)
12
12
Miller
Backlund
Last 10: Miller 5-5 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
4
1
Miller
Backlund
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
7
Miller
Backlund
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Miller
7
4
Miller
Backlund
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
58.2% (823)
50.4% (1,032)
+7.8%
Power Play
58.2% (165)
52.3% (107)
+5.9%
Penalty Kill
58.9% (90)
40.6% (313)
+18.3%
On penalty kill, Miller has a +18.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Miller is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (754).
Miller shoots left. Backlund is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,014).
Home / Away
Miller
Backlund
Home
59.1% (558)
48.7% (749)
Away
57.3% (520)
48.1% (703)
By Period
Miller
Backlund
P1
60.7%
50.4%
P2
57.5%
50.1%
P3
56.1%
45.8%
OT
73.3%
30.8%
Final 5 min
60.8%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
58.3%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2024 | 3 | 19:57 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 3 | 19:31 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 3 | 14:59 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 3 | 13:20 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 3 | 10:24 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 3 | 08:19 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 3 | 05:37 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 2 | 05:42 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 1 | 14:58 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 1 | 12:08 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 1 | 12:01 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 9, 2024 | 3 | 17:32 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 9, 2024 | 3 | 10:40 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 9, 2024 | 3 | 08:23 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 9, 2024 | 3 | 08:16 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 9, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 9, 2024 | 2 | 18:38 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |