Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Miller wins 54.6% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 53.8% vs Backlund 50.5% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Backlund leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Backlund 55.2%
Defensive zone
Backlund 54.5%
Neutral zone
Backlund 53.4%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 54.4%
45.6%
54.4%
Miller
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
8
(14 meetings)
6
8
Miller
Backlund
Last 10: Miller 4-6 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
2
1
Miller
Backlund
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
2
5
Miller
Backlund
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Miller
Backlund
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (933)
51.5% (983)
+4.0%
Power Play
61.6% (73)
49.4% (87)
+12.2%
Penalty Kill
45.8% (227)
45.3% (159)
+0.5%
On power play, Miller has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Miller is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (769).
Miller shoots left. Backlund is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (742).
Home / Away
Miller
Backlund
Home
53.5% (578)
51.6% (653)
Away
54.7% (655)
49.3% (576)
By Period
Miller
Backlund
P1
58.3%
50.0%
P2
53.5%
49.8%
P3
50.1%
51.7%
OT
70.6%
53.3%
Final 5 min
54.9%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
54.1%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2022 | 3 | 09:58 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 3 | 06:53 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 2 | 14:05 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 2 | 03:21 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 1 | 12:57 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 1 | 05:17 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 1 | 02:30 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 1 | 00:11 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 2 | 00:10 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 2 | 11:29 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 1 | 08:42 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 1 | 00:33 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |