Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Miller on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Miller wins 61.7% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 59.6% vs Backlund 49.7% (+11.2%)
H2H factor
Miller leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Miller 94.0%
Defensive zone
Backlund 51.9%
Neutral zone
Miller 80.2%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 71.4%
71.4%
28.6%
Miller
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
5
(14 meetings)
9
5
Miller
Backlund
Last 10: Miller 5-5 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
4
1
Miller
Backlund
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Miller
Backlund
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Miller
2
1
Miller
Backlund
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
61.5% (540)
50.1% (891)
+11.4%
Power Play
65.6% (122)
53.1% (64)
+12.5%
Penalty Kill
47.7% (65)
47.8% (278)
-0.1%
On power play, Miller has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Miller is 61.7% vs left-shot opponents (454).
Miller shoots left. Backlund is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (871).
Home / Away
Miller
Backlund
Home
62.1% (372)
48.1% (580)
Away
59.7% (355)
51.1% (653)
By Period
Miller
Backlund
P1
58.9%
45.1%
P2
63.9%
54.7%
P3
59.8%
49.0%
OT
60.0%
46.2%
Final 5 min
63.6%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
60.9%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 13:18 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 10:55 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 06:00 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 00:16 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 2 | 16:53 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 2 | 13:01 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 2 | 12:49 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 2 | 10:15 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 2 | 05:12 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 1 | 15:28 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 1 | 07:08 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |