Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Miller on offensive-zone draws (64% H2H, 11 meetings). Miller wins 54.0% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 55.9% vs Backlund 50.3% (+6.0%)
H2H factor
Miller leads 9-7 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Miller 84.0%
Defensive zone
Backlund 51.0%
Neutral zone
Miller 61.6%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 73.1%
73.1%
26.9%
Miller
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
7
(16 meetings)
9
7
Miller
Backlund
Last 10: Miller 6-4 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
7
4
Miller
Backlund
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
2
3
Miller
Backlund
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,033)
51.0% (1,205)
+5.3%
Power Play
62.5% (253)
59.3% (108)
+3.2%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (175)
42.3% (234)
+5.1%
On even strength, Miller has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Miller is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,003).
Miller shoots left. Backlund is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,012).
Home / Away
Miller
Backlund
Home
58.6% (734)
51.2% (782)
Away
54.1% (727)
49.4% (765)
By Period
Miller
Backlund
P1
57.1%
51.5%
P2
57.0%
49.8%
P3
54.7%
49.9%
OT
62.5%
37.5%
Final 5 min
56.1%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
56.3%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2024 | 3 | 19:03 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 3 | 18:44 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 3 | 18:16 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 3 | 11:29 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 2 | 09:49 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 1 | 00:35 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 3 | 16:34 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 3 | 10:30 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 2 | 11:50 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 2 | 11:42 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 1 | 05:57 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 3 | 16:27 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 2 | 17:24 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 16, 2023 | 2 | 19:47 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 16, 2023 | 2 | 11:26 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 16, 2023 | 1 | 09:11 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |