Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Miller on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Miller wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 54.5% vs Backlund 50.8% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Miller 61.9%
Defensive zone
Miller 56.2%
Neutral zone
Miller 55.0%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 56.5%
56.5%
43.5%
Miller
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Miller
Backlund
Last 7: Miller 4-3 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
1
Miller
Backlund
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Miller
3
0
Miller
Backlund
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
2
Miller
Backlund
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (589)
51.9% (1,083)
+3.8%
Power Play
60.9% (138)
51.7% (120)
+9.2%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (159)
44.3% (183)
+2.9%
On power play, Miller has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Miller is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (582).
Miller shoots left. Backlund is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (824).
Home / Away
Miller
Backlund
Home
56.1% (440)
51.9% (673)
Away
53.8% (446)
49.9% (713)
By Period
Miller
Backlund
P1
52.3%
51.4%
P2
54.7%
50.5%
P3
57.2%
51.4%
OT
66.7%
35.0%
Final 5 min
54.2%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
55.0%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 18:20 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 04:06 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 31, 2023 | 3 | 15:38 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 31, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 31, 2023 | 2 | 12:41 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 31, 2023 | 1 | 09:08 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 3 | 04:06 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |