Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Miller wins 57.2% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 54.5% vs Dowd 50.7% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Miller 81.7%
Defensive zone
Dowd 87.4%
Neutral zone
Dowd 63.6%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 52.8%
47.2%
52.8%
Miller
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Miller
Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
2
0
Miller
Dowd
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
2
Miller
Dowd
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (589)
55.2% (625)
+0.5%
Power Play
60.9% (138)
57.1% (7)
+3.8%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (159)
38.2% (220)
+9.0%
On penalty kill, Miller has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Miller is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (304).
Miller shoots left. Dowd is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Home / Away
Miller
Dowd
Home
56.1% (440)
53.7% (445)
Away
53.8% (446)
47.7% (407)
By Period
Miller
Dowd
P1
52.3%
48.8%
P2
54.7%
49.3%
P3
57.2%
54.0%
OT
66.7%
44.4%
Final 5 min
54.2%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
55.0%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2022 | 3 | 09:34 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 2 | 19:15 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 2 | 04:29 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 1 | 18:57 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |