Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Miller on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Miller wins 61.4% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 55.9% vs Dowd 48.3% (+8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Miller 97.9%
Defensive zone
Dowd 70.9%
Neutral zone
Miller 80.7%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 83.6%
83.6%
16.4%
Miller
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Miller
Dowd
Last 6: Miller 5-1 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
4
0
Miller
Dowd
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Miller
Dowd
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Miller
1
0
Miller
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,033)
49.2% (778)
+7.1%
Power Play
62.5% (253)
58.3% (12)
+4.2%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (175)
44.0% (234)
+3.4%
On even strength, Miller has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Miller is 61.4% vs right-shot opponents (458).
Miller shoots left. Dowd is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (698).
Home / Away
Miller
Dowd
Home
58.6% (734)
46.3% (492)
Away
54.1% (727)
49.8% (532)
By Period
Miller
Dowd
P1
57.1%
49.1%
P2
57.0%
48.2%
P3
54.7%
46.9%
OT
62.5%
71.4%
Final 5 min
56.1%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
56.3%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2024 | 2 | 06:01 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 1 | 18:08 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 1 | 06:08 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 1 | 03:11 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Feb 11, 2024 | 3 | 16:25 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 11, 2024 | 3 | 16:16 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |