Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +11.9% FO% edge overall. Miller wins 59.8% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 59.6% vs Dowd 49.1% (+11.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Miller 91.7%
Defensive zone
Dowd 67.2%
Neutral zone
Miller 72.4%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 52.4%
52.4%
47.6%
Miller
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Miller
Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
1
0
Miller
Dowd
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Miller
Dowd
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
61.5% (540)
51.7% (644)
+9.8%
Power Play
65.6% (122)
0.0% (2)
+65.6%
Penalty Kill
47.7% (65)
41.6% (221)
+6.1%
On power play, Miller has a +65.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Miller is 59.8% vs right-shot opponents (271).
Miller shoots left. Dowd is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (547).
Home / Away
Miller
Dowd
Home
62.1% (372)
48.6% (451)
Away
59.7% (355)
49.5% (416)
By Period
Miller
Dowd
P1
58.9%
49.1%
P2
63.9%
47.3%
P3
59.8%
51.4%
OT
60.0%
30.0%
Final 5 min
63.6%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
60.9%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2025 | 3 | 18:06 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 12, 2025 | 2 | 15:18 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 12, 2025 | 1 | 04:10 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |