Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Miller wins 53.2% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 53.8% vs Stamkos 50.9% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 60.7%
Defensive zone
Miller 57.3%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 50.1%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
Miller
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Miller
Stamkos
Last 6: Miller 3-3 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Miller
Stamkos
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Miller
Stamkos
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Miller
1
0
Miller
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (933)
49.3% (789)
+6.2%
Power Play
61.6% (73)
56.9% (181)
+4.7%
Penalty Kill
45.8% (227)
54.1% (98)
-8.3%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Miller is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (464).
Miller shoots left. Stamkos is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (798).
Home / Away
Miller
Stamkos
Home
53.5% (578)
52.0% (512)
Away
54.7% (655)
50.2% (556)
By Period
Miller
Stamkos
P1
58.3%
42.1%
P2
53.5%
56.4%
P3
50.1%
53.7%
OT
70.6%
62.5%
Final 5 min
54.9%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
54.1%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2022 | 3 | 14:34 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 3 | 04:50 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 2 | 18:18 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 2 | 12:38 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 3 | 09:41 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 3 | 06:41 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |