Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Miller wins 60.2% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 57.6% vs Stamkos 49.9% (+8.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 69.6%
Defensive zone
Miller 66.4%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 56.7%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 63.5%
36.5%
63.5%
Miller
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Miller
Stamkos
Last 8: Miller 4-4 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Miller
Stamkos
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Miller
1
0
Miller
Stamkos
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Miller
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
58.2% (823)
49.3% (670)
+8.9%
Power Play
58.2% (165)
53.7% (121)
+4.5%
Penalty Kill
58.9% (90)
33.3% (3)
+25.6%
On penalty kill, Miller has a +25.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Miller is 60.2% vs right-shot opponents (324).
Miller shoots left. Stamkos is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (610).
Home / Away
Miller
Stamkos
Home
59.1% (558)
54.0% (400)
Away
57.3% (520)
45.7% (394)
By Period
Miller
Stamkos
P1
60.7%
48.6%
P2
57.5%
54.5%
P3
56.1%
45.4%
OT
73.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
60.8%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
58.3%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2025 | 2 | 13:44 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 29, 2025 | 3 | 03:38 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 29, 2025 | 1 | 10:00 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 29, 2025 | 1 | 09:35 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 3, 2025 | 3 | 17:09 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 3, 2025 | 2 | 19:55 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 3, 2025 | 1 | 15:31 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 3, 2025 | 1 | 08:52 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |