Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Miller on defensive-zone draws (64% H2H, 11 meetings). Miller wins 55.8% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 54.8% vs Stamkos 51.0% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Miller leads 15-12 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Miller 55.0%
Defensive zone
Miller 62.1%
Neutral zone
Miller 60.8%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 58.3%
58.3%
41.7%
Miller
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
12
(27 meetings)
15
12
Miller
Stamkos
Last 10: Miller 3-7 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
7
7
Miller
Stamkos
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Miller
7
4
Miller
Stamkos
11 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Miller
Stamkos
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (6,648)
50.4% (9,799)
+4.8%
Power Play
57.9% (1,285)
55.1% (1,725)
+2.8%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (913)
49.7% (825)
-1.5%
On even strength, Miller has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Miller is 55.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,937).
Miller shoots left. Stamkos is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (8,778).
Home / Away
Miller
Stamkos
Home
55.9% (4,578)
52.7% (6,248)
Away
53.8% (4,268)
49.3% (6,127)
By Period
Miller
Stamkos
P1
54.7%
49.1%
P2
55.6%
52.7%
P3
54.0%
50.9%
OT
62.3%
54.3%
Final 5 min
55.2%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
54.9%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2025 | 3 | 10:27 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 3 | 09:40 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 3 | 08:59 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 2 | 05:47 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 1 | 13:07 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 2 | 13:44 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 29, 2025 | 3 | 03:38 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 29, 2025 | 1 | 10:00 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 29, 2025 | 1 | 09:35 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 3, 2025 | 3 | 17:09 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 3, 2025 | 2 | 19:55 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 3, 2025 | 1 | 15:31 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 3, 2025 | 1 | 08:52 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 3 | 14:29 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 3 | 11:15 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 3 | 06:03 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 2 | 06:50 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 1 | 19:10 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 1 | 11:32 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 18, 2023 | 2 | 05:07 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |